The outlook.
The reaction. The record.
A directional gold outlook before major US news. Two follow-up reports showing what the market actually did.
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Subscribers see current reports as they are published. Explore past reports below, open to everyone 24 hours after each release. Times are UTC.
US PCE + GDP — high-impact release
Core PCE Price Index m/m · Final GDP q/q
Market reaction
Maximum move
Event briefing Release details and consensus figures +
ATAI NEWS INTELLIGENCE — US PCE + GDP — high-impact release Release: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 12:30 PM UTC (UTC+0000) 12-hour notice Core PCE Price Index m/m: forecast 0.3%; previous 0.2% Final GDP q/q: forecast 1.5%; previous 1.5% ATAI NEWS INTELLIGENCE is analysing this event to estimate the direction of XAUUSD. Prediction due: Wed 30 Sep 2026, 12:20 PM UTC (UTC+0000)
Know what each report tells you.
A clear directional view.
A BUY or SELL scenario for gold, prepared before covered high-impact US releases. When sufficient history exists, see the previous three releases and a clearly labelled estimate of the move.
The first 30 minutes.
Compare gold at the release with the lowest and highest prices recorded throughout the next 30 minutes. See the largest move in the forecast direction and the largest move against it.
The maximum recorded move.
Review the lowest and highest prices across the full first hour, with the largest moves in each direction. Compare the forecast-direction move with the original historical estimate when one was issued.
A directional match or price excursion is not a trading return. Spreads, execution and entry timing matter. Past results do not guarantee future performance.
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